PUBLIC CASE STUDY

Laurentian Bank

A performing loan can still fail an evidence review.

Connect mortgage eligibility to the evidence behind it. Model more assessable files and more accurate identity links before a performing loan is treated as a complete file.

BanksResidential mortgages
~1.6%

Share of residential mortgages potentially subject to repurchase, December 2017 [2]

C$115M

Additional branch mortgage repurchases announced in May 2018 [3]

C$125–150M

Estimated additional CMHC program repurchases in May 2018 [3]

Historical case analysis · Event period: 2017–2018 · Not an Amlok customer outcome. Currency and measurement scope are stated with each figure.

01 / THE PUBLIC RECORD

What happened.

Reviews of mortgages sold by Laurentian Bank identified documentation, client-representation, and eligibility issues. The resulting repurchases created a control and reputational problem even though the bank said the affected loans were performing.

The bank’s clarification stated that it had not identified an implicated employee or a concentration involving a single broker. That distinction matters: evidence quality and eligibility can fail through a broader process weakness, without establishing a single bad actor or proving that the loans will default.

Source record [1][2][3]

THE RISK MECHANISM

Credit quality and sale eligibility are separate tests. An institution needs to demonstrate that required documents, verification steps, and insurance conditions were satisfied at the relevant decision point.

02 / CONNECT THE SIGNALS

From individual facts to a fuller picture.

Documented in the source record
  • Portfolio sampling and reviews identified document and eligibility issues.
  • The bank said the affected loans were performing and did not identify a single-broker concentration.
[1][2][3]
Questions for retrospective review
  • Is every required document present, current, and linked to the correct loan?
  • Are eligibility rules supported by evidence before sale or securitization?
  • Do exceptions reveal a recurring branch, channel, or process issue?

The review questions are analytical prompts. They do not establish that particular data was available to the institution at the time, or that a different process would have changed the outcome.

03 / THE Amlok INTERVENTION

A different decision starts here.

Prevent a successful payment history from standing in for the verification evidence required for a mortgage decision.

EVIDENCE THIS SCENARIO REQUIRES

Authorized mortgage files, income and identity evidence, debt obligations, and the eligibility requirements supplied by the institution or purchaser.

  1. 01

    Check evidence against the requirement

    Evidence to connect
    Required verification items, supporting documents, source provenance, and the underwriting record.
    Amlok output
    A traceable evidence checklist with missing, contradictory, or outdated items left unresolved.

    Decision it could supportRoute incomplete files for remediation before the institution marks the required verification as complete.

  2. 02

    Reassess capacity and identity

    Evidence to connect
    Independent income records, debt commitments, account ownership, and supported applicant relationships.
    Amlok output
    A source-linked affordability assessment and identity graph that preserve uncertainty.

    Decision it could supportReview the evidence gap even when the loan is paying on time.

  3. 03

    Carry the evidence into transfer review

    Evidence to connect
    The versioned file, completed checks, open exceptions, and purchaser requirements.
    Amlok output
    A review package showing what was verified and which evidence supported the determination.

    Decision it could supportGive the institution a defensible basis to clear, remediate, or exclude a file under the applicable eligibility rules.

04 / MODELED IMPACT

Put numbers behind the opportunity.

These scenarios apply Amlok’s supplied comparison rates to the review described above. They are projections, not measured results at Laurentian Bank. Count-based scenarios use an assumed population, not the institution’s actual records.

MODELED SCENARIO

Debt-service coverage assessability

Assumed population: 1,000 eligible mortgage evidence reviews.

Baseline scenario700
With Amlok, modeled≈850
+150additional assessable mortgage files

More files could support a debt-service assessment backed by current evidence.

Calculation & assumptions

Comparison inputs: 70% → ≈85%.

Population calculation: 1,000 × 70% = 700; 1,000 × 85% ≈ 850. Difference: ≈150 additional.

Relative change: (85 − 70) ÷ 70 × 100 ≈ +21.43%.

15 percentage points higher than the input baseline. Assumes comparable income and debt records. This measures financial assessability, not CMHC or purchaser eligibility.

View the supplied comparison inputs
MODELED SCENARIO

Graph relationship precision

Assumed population: 1,000 accepted applicant and account links.

Baseline scenario800
With Amlok, modeled≈950
+150additional correctly resolved links

More accepted identity and account relationships could be accurate within the review set.

Calculation & assumptions

Comparison inputs: 80% → ≈95%.

Population calculation: 1,000 × 80% = 800; 1,000 × 95% ≈ 950. Difference: ≈150 additional.

Relative change: (95 − 80) ÷ 80 × 100 ≈ +18.75%.

15 percentage points higher than the input baseline. Holds accepted-link volume constant and requires independent labels. Correct identity links alone do not establish a loan’s eligibility.

View the supplied comparison inputs

From a projection to a validated result.

Replay files before transfer using the requirements and evidence then in force. Test assessability and relationship precision; separately measure file completeness and actual eligibility outcomes.

Mortgage repurchases are not automatically credit losses. The model does not apply a reduction percentage to repurchase amounts or claim a measured eligibility improvement. The supplied comparison rates are approximate scenario inputs; no institution-specific replay or confidence interval is available for these estimates. The two metrics describe separate dimensions and should not be added together.

05 / EVIDENCE & SCOPE

Read the source material.

Repurchase amounts are not equivalent to realized credit losses. The case focuses on the 2017–2018 mortgage review, not the bank’s separate later operational events.

  1. 01
  2. 02
  3. 03

Amlok’s interpretation is independent of the institutions discussed. Public records are limited to their stated scope and period. Historical figures describe the source events; the separately labeled Amlok scenarios are calculated projections. Institution names and logos do not imply affiliation or endorsement.

CONTINUOUS RISK INTELLIGENCE

Keep up with riskas fast as it changes

A point-in-time decision does not need to become a blind spot for the life of the deal.

A barista handing a coffee to a customer across a wooden café counter, with pale brick walls and cool natural daylight.
Early signalRevenue trend changed-18% against baseline
Portfolio baseline90 daysContinuously refreshed
Monitoring activeRisk trajectory updatedEvidence attached · team notified